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Bears vs. Vikings: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Monday Night Football

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Bears vs. Vikings: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Monday Night Football

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Divisional rivals with something to prove face off in the Week 12 edition of Monday Night Football, as Joshua Dobbs and the Minnesota Vikings host Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears. 

The Vikings (6-5) can get one game closer to the Lions (8-3) in the NFC North race while keeping the improving Packers (5-6) at bay. Meanwhile, coach Matt Eberflus, as well as Fields, may be playing for their futures with the Bears (3-8), who have especially struggled on the road. 

Minnesota is at -3 in the latest Bears vs. Vikings NFL odds, with an Over/Under for total points at 43.5. 

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who has hit on a whopping 62-64% of his NFL picks three years running, reveals his plays for Monday night’s NFC matchup. 

Bears vs. Vikings Odds

Bears vs. Vikings Point Spread Pick

No Justin Jefferson for Monday night makes the Vikings slightly less dangerous on the offensive end. And while Dobbs had a magical start to his tenure in Minnesota, his QB rating has decreased each game, and the Bears’ defense, allowing under 300 yards per game over the last eight weeks, has improved.

The Vikings have won the last five matchups with the Bears. But Chicago has covered the spread in four of those five games. Minnesota is 0-2 ATS (and straight-up) as a home favorite. The spread earlier in the week was 3.5 points, which gave a lot of value to Chicago. This spread, not as much, but we still like the Bears to cover on Monday. 

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Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under Best Bet

When it comes to home/away splits, these teams allow a whopping 51 ppg, but score just 42.5. That sounds like an Over type of trend. But these teams played a 19-13 slugfest at Soldier Field in Week 6, with barely 500 yards in total offense. 

Prime time games have been horrifically low-scoring. The Under has hit in 12 of 13 Monday night matchups so far. Couple that with no Jefferson for Minnesota, the Under trends in Chicago games (3 of 4) and the Under trend for the Vikings when the total is at least 43.5 (7-1), and we’re going for another Under on MNF as our top action. 

Bears vs. Vikings Moneyline Pick

When the Bears don’t turn the ball over, they’re 3-0. When they do, they’re 0-8. That’s pretty clear-cut. That doesn’t necessarily bode well for a Vikings team that ranks 18th in takeaways. 

The Vikings are -155 on the moneyline – wager $155 to win $100 in profit at the best betting apps. The Bears are at +130 (risk $100 to win $130 in profit). While we like the points with the Bears, there isn’t enough interest on either side of the moneyline, and we don’t have enough faith in Chicago to pull off the win. The points are too valuable in this matchup. 

Bears vs. Vikings Top Player Props

D.J. Moore, Over 4.5 Receptions 

Odds: -145 at BetMGM

Moore has had four games in which he’s finished with four or fewer catches. But two key asterisks: The Bears lost both games, and Fields didn’t play in any of them. In the last four games they’ve played together, including last week, Moore has eight receptions in each of them. Minnesota ranks 29th in receptions allowed to WRs. Back the Over on Moore at BetMGM. 

Tyson Chandler, Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds: -115 at Draftkings

Chandler is just getting into the mix in Minnesota’s backfield. Last game, however, he got not just 10 carries (for 73 yards) but four receptions for 37 yards. Chicago’s run defense is outstanding but its pass defense hasn’t worked in slowing RBs. Vikings coaches talked up getting Chandler more touches. Look for those to be in the pass game, and take the Over at DraftKings. 


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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.