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Best NFL Prop Bets To Back Today: Divisional Round Edition

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 10 mins

Best NFL Prop Bets To Back Today: Divisional Round Edition

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The NFL betting schedule has reached "The Best Weekend Of The Year" with the Divisional Round of the playoffs. 

The Shield offers up doubleheaders on Saturday and Sunday, with the top teams in the league meeting from coast to coast. 

The San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens return to action after their first-round byes, and an unofficial bye having clinched the top seeds in their respective conferences before Week 18.

While snow and cold dogged the schedule during the Wild Card Weekend, the weather is not expected to impact the games in Baltimore or Buffalo. The Lions, in case you haven't heard, play indoors. And while it never rains in California, you'll see plenty of clouds and maybe a stray shower early Saturday evening when the 49ers play host to the Packers at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. 

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NFL odds have both home teams - the Ravens and 49ers - as 9 to 9.5 point favorites on Saturday. The lines are a bit tighter on Sunday. The host Lions opened as 5.5-point favorites over Tampa Bay before bettors pushed that line to 6.5. The Bills have held as 2.5-point favorites over Kansas City in the first road playoff game of Patrick Mahomes' career. 

One more thing, make sure you make your Valentine's Day plans this weekend to beat the rush. 

Bookies.com Senior Betting Analyst Bill Speros gives his best player prop bets on sports betting apps ahead of the NFL Divisional Playoff Round. 

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Best Divisional Round Player Props To Back

Best NFL Prop Bets To Back Today: Divisional Round Edition 1

Here are our best Divisional Round player prop bets to back on sports betting apps today.

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield Over 257.5 Passing Yards -115 at DraftKings
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice Over 67.5 Receiving Yards -120 at DraftKings
Bills WR Stefon Diggs Under 5.5 Receptions +102 at FanDuel
Packers QB Jordan Love Over 8.5 Yards Rushing -108 at FanDuel
49ers TE George Kittle Over 52.5 Yards Receiving -125 at DraftKings

The betting odds might have changed since the time of publication. For the most updated odds, please check the betting apps.

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield: Over 257.5 Passing Yards 

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Best Bet: Tom Who? Baker Mayfield on Monday joined Tom Brady as the only Buccaneers QBs to ever throw for more than 300 yards in a playoff game. That game in what evolved into a scrimmage against the woeful Eagles. This week, Mayfield faces a raucous Ford Field crowd, and a ferocious Lions defense that kept the Bucs out of the end zone in a 20-6 loss at Tampa in Week Since that loss to the Lions, Mayfield has hit the over in his passing prop number in 9 of 13 games. Mayfield has hit the over in his passing props in 8 of 9 games outside the NFC South. The Lions will load up to stop the run. And this play is also a bit of an insurance policy if this game gets away from Tampa Bay, as Mayfield will be chucking it long and deep. 

Chiefs WR Rashee Rice: Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -120 at DraftKings

Best Bet: Shop around on this number. Rashee Rice's total yards receiving is 67.5 at DraftKings and 71.5 at FanDuel. The juice on over 67.5 is -120 at DK and -114 at FanDuel. No bargain there. Rice has methodically worked his way into Patrick Mahomes' Circle of Trust. He's averaged 92,5 yards receiving in his past 7 games. All of those games were must-win contests for the Chiefs to either gain playoff position, or advance over Miami in the Divisional Round. Rice sat in Week 18. 

Bills WR Stefon Diggs: Under 5.5 Receptions 

Odds: +102 at FanDuel

Best Bet: While all eyes have been focused on Taylor Swift, Mahomes, and MaAuto, the Chiefs have been winning this season with their defense. Stefon Diggs will be their shutdown target on Sunday. No doubt, Josh Allen can find other receivers, and move the ball well on his own. Closing out Diggs is Job One for KC's top-tier cornerback tandem of Trent McDuffie and L'Jarius Sneed. The Chiefs allowed the fourth-fewest yards passing this season. Diggs, meanwhile, has struggled historically against the Chiefs. In Buffalo's past 2 playoff matches against Kansas City, Diggs averaged just 4.5 catches and 42 yards receiving per game. 

Best NFL Prop Bets To Back Today: Divisional Round Edition 2

Packers QB Jordan Love: Over 8.5 Yards Rushing 

Odds: -108 at FanDuel

Best Bet: The 49ers will pressure Jordan Love from the edge. Nick Bosa and Chase Young will try to flush him out of the pocket and force him to throw on the run. While Love's passing game has made plenty of deserving headlines this season, but he's averaging 14.5 YPG rushing and has surpassed this number 11 times. The Niners aren't worried about being beaten by Love's running ability. They'll focus on stuffing Aaron Jones and closing deep routes. 

49ers TE George Kittle: Over 52.5 Yards Receiving  

Odds: -125 at DraftKings

Best Bets: No player on the 49ers should benefit more from their two-week (effectively) break than the banged-up and bruised George Kittle. Kittle has gone over this number in his past 4 games that mattered in terms of the 49ers playoff fate and in 10 of his 16 games this season. The Packers have to focus on containing Christian McCaffrey. And in limiting Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk in yards after the catch. That means Kittle will be often alone in man coverage against a linebacker. Easy pickings for Brock Purdy

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.