Broncos vs Jaguars Picks & Week 2 NFL Betting Preview
There’s a belief in the NFL betting world that the Denver Broncos can be an AFC playoff contender this season and their Week 1 performance did little to dissuade that notion. Denver was a solid 27-13 road winner at the New York Giants.
Meanwhile, even with two college football legends in the fold, the disaster that is the Jacksonville Jaguars showed that they can’t be rebuilt in a day. The NFL debut of coach Urban Meyer and quarterback Trevor Lawrence ended in a 37-21 drubbing at the hands of what figures to be a woeful Houston Texans team.
Denver is opening as a six-point road favorite in the NFL spreads for this game.
Broncos vs. Jaguars Key Matchups
Trevor Lawrence vs Denver Defense: It doesn’t get any easier for Lawrence, who was picked off three times in his NFL debut. The Broncos have an outstanding secondary. As well, Von Miller is healthy and figures to spend much of the day in pursuit of the Jaguars QB. Bradley Chubb may return too after missing the Giants game.
Jerry Jeudy vs His Wonky Ankle: Wide receiver Jeudy suffered a high ankle sprain against the Giants. He’s gone on IR and that takes a major weapon away from the Broncos offense. Jeudy caught six passes for 72 yards in the opener.
Denver Run Game vs Jaguars Run Defense: The Broncos sliced through the Giants for 165 yards on the ground. Melvin Gordon went for 101 yards, 70 of it coming on one chunk play. The Jags allowed 160 rushing yards to a Houston team that doesn’t run the ball anywhere near as well as Denver.
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5 Key Broncos vs. Jaguars Stats
16 Straight Losses: That’s the active skid for the Jaguars. Sure it’s a long way from Tampa Bay’s NFL record 26-game losing skid but give the Jags some time.
28-for-36, 264 Yards, 2 TDs: Teddy Bridgewater’s debut as the Broncos starting QB couldn’t have gone much better. If he’s allowed to manage a game and not expected to win it on his own, he’s a very capable NFL QB.
37 Points: That’s how many points a Houston Texans team with Tyrod Taylor at QB put up against Jacksonville last week.
Three TD Passes: Lawrence joined Fran Tarkenton (1961) and Marcus Mariota (2015) as the only QBs to throw for three TDs in their team’s first game of the season during their rookie year. That means he’s either destined for Hall of Fame greatness or to back up Derek Carr.
24+ Points: The Jaguars have allowed 24+ points in 16 straight games. That is the longest streak in NFL history.
Broncos vs. Jaguars Weather Forecast
Rain is in the forecast for Sunday’s Jaguars home opener at TIAA Bank Field. A 2-mph wind and a game time temperature of 77 degrees are also in the projected game-day weather.
Broncos vs Jaguars Player Props
Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater over 254.5 yards passing (-115 at DraftKings): The Jaguars defense made Tyrod Taylor look like Patrick Mahomes last week. Bridgewater is a better version off Taylor and is surrounded by a more potent offense.
Broncos TE Noah Fant over 4.5 receptions (-133 at BetMGM): With Jerry Jeudy out, someone has to catch passes. Fant snared six last week with Jeudy in the lineup.
Broncos RB Melvin Gordon over 50.5 yards rushing (-114 at FanDuel): Gordon went over 100 yards against the Giants last week. Denver was first in the NFL in yards per carry during Week 1 (5.9).
Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence over 0.5 interceptions (-161 at BetMGM): Lawrence was picked off three times in his NFL debut. Denver’s defense is superior to Houston’s unit.
Jaguars WR Marvin Jones over 4.5 receptions (+115 at DraftKings: Jones has spent his entire NFL career getting open. He caught five balls last week.
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Broncos vs. Jaguars Moneyline
Denver probably won’t cover the six-point spread but the Broncos are going to win this game. At FanDuel, the moneyline is set with Denver as the -270 favorite. It’s hard to argue with that number, but it’s going to be even harder to bet that number.
Jacksonville is 0-16 straight up in its last 16 games, 0-7 SU in the last seven home games and 0-12 SU in the last 12 games when facing AFC West competition. As much as this one looks to be a lock, it’s simply too low a number to make the investment worthwhile.
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Broncos vs. Jaguars Point Spread
It’s been 48 games and nearly three years since the Broncos were a six-point favorite in a game. That was on September 16, 2018. Denver won 20-19 at home over the Oakland Raiders as a six-point favorite, failing to cover as an NFL pick for that game.
Sunday’s season-opening win at the Giants marked the first time Denver won and covered after betting sites set them as a road favorite since the Broncos won 24-10 at Cincinnati as the 3-point chalk on December 2, 2018.
Denver is 1-5 ATS in the last six games against Jacksonsville. The Jaguars were 3-3 ATS last season as a home underdog of six or more points. Six is too much to give. Take the Jags to cover. You can get the Jags +6 at BetMGM.
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Broncos vs. Jaguars Totals
The total is set at 45.5 by NFL betting apps for this contest. That seems low.
The Jaguars, after all, just coughed up 37 to the Texans. Denver scored 27 on the Giants. Then again, the total has gone under in six of Denver’s last nine games and in four of the past five road games played by the Broncos.
Jacksonville was 4-4 on the over/under at home last season. The total has gone over in four of the Jaguars’ last five games played against AFC West opposition. It’s gone under, though, in four of the Jags’ last five games when facing the Broncos at home.
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