Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Picks & Betting Predictions

Marcus Mosher | 8 mins

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Heading into Week 11, this is a game in which the two teams playing against one another are going in opposite directions as franchises. The Texans are in a full-blown rebuild and it looks like they are years away from competing inside the division.
Meanwhile, the Titans own the best record in the AFC and are looking to increase that lead. Even without Derrick Henry and Julio Jones, this is a team that has Super Bowl aspirations. Under head coach Mike Vrabel, his teams have won at least nine games in every season and he is looking to get to that number again with a win in Week 11.
To get you ready for this AFC South matchup, here is everything you need to know from an NFL betting perspective going into Week 11.
Take a look at Texans vs. Titans odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Texans vs. Titans Matchups
Titans WR A.J. Brown vs. Texans CB Terrance Mitchell: Mitchell has the tall task of slowing down Brown, but he doesn’t have the long speed to stop him down the field. Brown should be in for a big day on Sunday.
Texans RT Charlie Heck vs. Titans EDGE Harold Landry: Heck has not been great for the Texans this season and will have a tough assignment in Landry. He’s been one of the league’s most productive Edge rushers this season.
Texans LG Tytus Howard vs. Titans DT Jeffrey Simmons: Simmons has been one of the best defensive players in the league this season and will face 2019 first-round pick Howard at left guard. Advantage; Titans.
RELATED: NFL Week 11 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games
Texans vs. Titans Stats
8: The Texans have lost 8 straight games after winning in Week 1.
5-1: The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
7: The Texans have lost 7 straight road games.
5-1: The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against AFC opponents.
27.8: The Titans have the No. 5 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 27.8 PPG .
Texans vs. Titans Player Props
Titans QB Ryan Tannehill over 237.5 passing yards
Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜
In the last two games without Derrick Henry, Tannehill averaged only 178 passing yards. However, that was against two good pass defenses. Look for him to light up Houston’s secondary in Week 11.
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Texans QB Tyrod Taylor over 22.5 rushing yards
Odds: -110 at DraftKings ➜
Taylor should be 100 percent healthy after the bye week, which means he should be able to run more than what we saw in Week 9. When he was healthy in Week 1, he totaled 40 yards against the Jaguars. Even in Week 9, he went over 22.5 rushing yards. Look for him to easily accomplish this against the Titans.
Texans RB David Johnson over 14.5 rushing yards
Odds: -105 at DraftKings ➜
Johnson hasn’t gotten a ton of work in Houston this season, but look for the Texans to try to establish the run in this game. As long as he gets five or six carries, he should easily cover this total.
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Texans vs. Titans Moneyline
The Titans are just the far better team and should win this game with relative ease. They’ve defeated several of the top teams in the NFL, including the Rams, Chiefs, Bills and Saints in recent weeks. But as we’ve seen over the last few weeks, upsets do happen in the NFL.
That is why it’s best to pass on this moneyline at sportsbooks as the Titans are up to -525 favorites on some betting sites. Instead, look to the NFL spreads and points total for better value.
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Texans vs. Titans Point Spread
The Titans have been incredible against the spread this season, going 5-1 in their last six games. But divisional games tend to be close. That is especially true when one team is coming off their bye week like the Texans are. With the Texans being more than 10-point road underdogs, there is some value here as they could easily cover this spread, but not come close to winning.
Don’t be surprised if Tyrod Taylor, who is back in the lineup, keeps this game close. Take the Texans +10.5 (-110) on FanDuel ➜ as this line is about 1.5 points too high.
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Texans vs. Titans Totals
For as good as the Titans have been this season, they don’t blow teams out very often. They have four wins by a field goal or less this season and lost an early-season game against the Jets. Without Derrick Henry and Julio Jones, don’t expect the Titans to score a ton of points.
Meanwhile, the Texans have the league’s worst scoring offense, averaging 14.2 points per game. They are getting Taylor again this week and that could provide the offense with a lift. But don’t expect them to score more than 17 points against a defense that has improved over the last month. Taking the Under 44.5 (-110) on DraftKings ➜ feels like a good bet on our sports betting app as this looks like a 23-13 type of game in Tennessee.
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