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Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds, SNF Picks & Best Bets

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds, SNF Picks & Best Bets

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Tua Tagovailoa returns to a Miami Dolphins team that needs an offensive boost, as they host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football’s Week 7 matchup. 

The Dolphins (3-3) have lost three straight, scoring 15-17 points in each defeat, but also using two QBs in each game after an injury to the starter. Miami is hoping Tagovailoa can right the ship; he leads the NFL in QBR – yes, just ahead of Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. 

RELATED: NFL Week 7 Best Bets, Picks and Predictions For Every Game

Meanwhile, the Steelers (2-4) have had their own QB issues, bouncing from Mitchell Trubisky to rookie Kenny Pickett, and back to Trubisky last week when Pickett was injured (concussion). Trubisky guided the Steelers to a surprising win over the Buccaneers. Pickett is expected back under center for SNF. 

Host Miami is a seven-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Dolphins odds on NFL betting sites. The Over/Under for total points is 45. 

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – who has hit on over 60% of his NFL picks the last three years running – reveals his best bets for this primetime AFC matchup. 

Steelers vs Dolphins Point Spread Pick

Pickett is expected to play. We don’t have enough info yet to know if that’s good or not for the Steelers. He has just one start and it was against the powerful Bills. That ended in a 38-3 beatdown. We have more concerns with a Steelers defense that ranks 30th vs. the pass and has to figure out how to slow down Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. 

In Tua’s three full games, the Dolphins beat the Patriots, Ravens and Bills. Miami has dominated lesser opposition at home lately, covering on betting apps in 10 of 12 vs. sub-.500 teams. Given the Steelers’ issues on offense – no team averages fewer yards per play – and Miami’s production with Tua, we love Miami to cover the spread at home. 


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Steelers vs Dolphins Over/Under Best Bet

Even in Miami’s three wins with Tua, the Under hit twice. In Pittsburgh’s six games, only once has the number gone over 45 points, and that instance it was just 46. Only two of six Dolphins games have gone over 45 as well. Their three games at home have all finished 40 or less. 

So what’s with the seemingly high total? The return of Tua might be overvalued. Each defense ranks bottom 10 in yards allowed, as well. We’re not going all in on both offenses contributing enough to hit this mark. Lean toward the Under hitting on Sunday on sports betting sites


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Steelers vs Dolphins Moneyline Pick

Miami is a hefty -320 on the moneyline according to the latest NFL odds, meaning you’d need to wager $320 to win $100 in profit on a Dolphins win. That’s a little high, but we’re certainly not backing a Steelers team that ranks bottom five in both total offense and total defense. 

Miami is the play, but we prefer the -110 odds on the spread. 

Best Dolphins vs Steelers Player Props

This section will be added closer to kick-off time, when more player props become available at top sportsbooks.

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.
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