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Bill Speros for Bookies.com

By Bill Speros | | 14 mins

NFC & AFC Championship Sunday Odds, Predictions & Best Bets To Back

NFC & AFC Championship Sunday Odds, Predictions & Best Bets To Back
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The NFL betting season is down to its Final Four this upcoming Sunday. The two winners will be on their way to Super Bowl 57 in Arizona. 

The NFC Championship Game features the No. 1-seed Philadelphia Eagles playing host to San Francisco (3 p.m. ET, FOX). The top-seed Kansas City Chiefs play host to the Cincinnati Bengals (6:30 p.m. ET, CBS) in a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game. The Bengals won that game 27-24.

The line for Sunday’s AFC Championship Game has swung wildly across betting apps since the matchup was finalized. The Bengals curb-stomped the Bills at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York 27-10 in the Divisional Round Sunday. 

The AFC title game opened with the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites. It swung all the way back to the Bengals being a 1-point road favorite. By Monday morning, it had settled with Kansas City and the ailing Patrick Mahomes as 1-point home favorites at Caesars Sportsbook and elsewhere. 

The 49ers dumped Dallas 19-12 in their playoff game Sunday, a day after the Eagles demolished Big Blue. Philadelphia remains a 2.5 point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook and DraftKings but has floated to 3 points at BetMGM.


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NFL Championship Sunday Picks 

Here’s a rundown of our best bets and NFL picks to back for the two NFL Championship Sunday games to be played on Jan. 29.

DateMatchup ML PickOver/Under Pick
Sunday, Jan. 2949ers (2) @ Eagles (1) Eagles ML ➜ Under Points Total ➜
Sunday, Jan. 29Bengals (3) @ Chiefs (1) Bengals ML ➜ Over Points Total ➜

All NFL Championship Sunday best bets are accurate as of publication. Our picks are subject to change. Use the BetMGM promo code BOOKIESPICKS to get a $1,000 risk-free bet for your NFL picks.

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NFL Championship Sunday Betting Trends

Here is a betting breakdown of the four teams playing this weekend, listed with their record ATS, percentage, over/under points total, over percentage and under percentage:

Team ATS ATS% Over O% Under U%
Bengals13-572.27-10-141.210-7-158.8
49ers13-668.410-952.69-1047.4
Eagles9-950.010-855.68-1044.4
Chiefs6-11-135.38-1044.410-856.4

Both the 49ers and Bengals enter this weekend on monstrous streaks. The 49ers have won 12 straight. They’ve also covered in nine straight against NFC teams. Rookie QB Brock Purdy, who was used strategically Sunday against Dallas and did not throw a TD pass, is 7-0 as a starter and 6-1 ATS. The Eagles have covered in seven of their past eight.

The Bengals have mauled the books for the past three months. They are No. 2 overall in the NFL ATS at 13-5 (72.2%) and are unbeaten straight up since Halloween. The black and orange cats of Cincinnati are 9-0-1 ATS and 10-1 ATS outside the AFC North. 

NFC Championship Game Predictions

No. 2 San Francisco 49ers (15-4) at No. 1 Philadelphia Eagles (15-3) – 3 p.m. (FOX)

Both teams scored decisive victories in their divisional round playoff games. The Eagles crushed the Giants 38-7. The 49ers sent Jerry Jones, Dak Prescott, and the Cowboys into another offseason of failure and uncertainty with a 19-12 triumph. Both teams scored covers as home favorites, as well.

Most betting sites have set the Eagles as 3-point favorites. But some still have them at -2.5, a slight discount from the traditional 3 points awarded the home team in an otherwise-even matchup. 

The Eagles and Jalen Hurts walked, ran, and passed all over the Giants. No injury concerns there. The 49ers defense hits and hits hard. But the Eagles have more options on offense and will spread things out before shifting to a merciless running attack. 

Kyle Shanahan pulled back a bit on Brock Purdy Sunday, especially inside the Red Zone. George Kittle delivered again for the Niners. But Dallas was able to shut down any deep threat and pressured Purdy all day. The Eagles will replicate that – plus add some offense. The Linc will be rocking Sunday afternoon. And the locals will be sending off the Eagles to their fourth overall Super Bowl appearance. Fly, Eagles, Fly.

NFL Best Bet: Eagles ML (-145) at DraftKings ➜

NFL Best Bet: Under 45.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook ➜

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AFC Championship Game Predictions

No. 3 Cincinnati Bengals (14-4) at No. 1 Kansas City Chiefs (15-3) – 6:30 p.m. (CBS)

This game is a rematch of last season’s AFC title game, won by the unflappable Joe Burrow and the Bengals at Kansas City 27-24. The host Bengals also defeated the Chiefs in Week 13 this season by the same score. 

The Burrow-Tom Brady comparisons filled social media Sunday during and after the Bengals mauled the Bills 27-10 at Highmark Stadium. Burrow is 3-0 on the road in the playoffs and 5-1 overall in the postseason. All Joe Cool needs to match the GOAT is one – or seven – Super Bowl rings. 

Like Brady 20-something years ago, Burrow is unfazed in the biggest moments or in the most challenging of situations – see Joe Iceman’s dominance of the Bills in a Western New York waterscape on Sunday, or that AFC title win last season at KC. Patrick Mahomes’ high ankle sprain and his availability – or lack thereof - will be pushing this line up and down all week. 

The Chiefs have covered just twice in their past nine games on Kansas betting apps. The Chiefs have underperformed against the line. They share the best record outright in the NFL at 15-3, but are just 6-11-1 ATS this season.

In terms of the total, we've seen consecutive CIN-KC games hit 51 points. In terms of the points spread, shop around. It will likely hover around a pick ‘em or 1 point. Your juice will be in the -110 neighborhood with most wagers. 

The Bengals are the best team left in the playoffs ATS at 13-5 (72.2%) on Ohio betting apps and we like them in this spot. Talk to the paw. Before it leaves for Glendale. 

NFL Best Bet: Bengals +1 (-110) at BetMGM ➜

NFL Best Bet: Over 47.5 Points at DraftKings ➜

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.