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Super Bowl 2021 Opening Line: Chiefs Favored Over Brady, Bucs

Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com

Marcus Mosher  | 3 mins

Super Bowl 2021 Opening Line: Chiefs Favored Over Brady, Bucs

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The 2021 Super Bowl is set, and it will be a battle we’ve already seen once this year as Patrick Mahomes and the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs will travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in their home stadium on February 7. It’s a dream matchup for the NFL and for fans of NFL betting.

Despite this game being at Raymond James Stadium, the Chiefs open up as a 3-point favorite over at William Hill, though the line was as high as 3.5 points at a handful of sportsbooks, including at BetMGM.

For those looking at the spread tendencies, take not that after failing to cover the spread in nine straight games, the Chiefs were able to pull off an impressive double-digit win against the Bills. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have covered in six of their last eight games as things are starting to click for them on defense.

CHECK OUT & COMPARE: Super Bowl 2021 Odds From Top Online Sportsbooks

The Chiefs opened at many US betting sites as -175 favorites on the moneyline, while the Buccaneers checked in as +145 underdogs. Those odds seem a bit low for Kansas City as Mahomes has now won 25 of his last 26 games that he has started. That also includes a Week 12 win in Tampa Bay when the Chiefs won 27-24 in an earlier meeting this season.

The point total for this game is set at 57 points, and it’s one of the higher Super Bowl totals in recent memory. With two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL facing off against one another, these are two offenses that can score points in a hurry. Both teams reached 31 or more points in the conference championship round and you can make a case that neither offense played to their full potential.

Expect a ton of points in this meeting and for the total to potentially rise over the next two weeks ahead of kickoff.

CHECK OUT: Where You Can Legally Bet on Super Bowl 2021

How The Chiefs & Buccaneers Got Here


Despite a rigorous regular-season schedule, the Chiefs have won 16 of their 17 games in which Mahomes has started this season. Their only loss came against the Raiders in a strange game earlier in the year. They’ve defeated just about every good team in the NFL, including the Bills twice, Ravens, Browns, Saints and the Buccaneers.

It hasn’t always been easy as they played in multiple one-score games to finish the season and have dealt with a significant amount of injuries on the offensive line. But they are just one win away from winning back-to-back Super Bowls, becoming the first to do so since Brady led the Patriots to titles in the 2003 and 2004 seasons.


Much like the Chiefs, the Buccaneers have had a tough road to the Super Bowl. Battling their way through the wild-card spot via the No. 5 seed, Tampa Bay has knocked off Drew Brees and the Saints and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in back-to-back weeks.

Most impressively, they’ve won both of those games on the road. Tampa Bay is peaking at the right time, with its defense is flying around the field and its offense is making enough big plays to win games.

Regardless of the outcome in this matchup, they are a battle-tested team worthy of appearing in the Super Bowl.

About the Author

Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com
Marcus Mosher
Marcus Mosher covers the NFL for Bookies.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided.