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Curb Your Enthusiasm Final Season Odds: Predicting Larry David's Last Act

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

Dan Kilbridge  | 

Curb Your Enthusiasm Final Season Odds: Predicting Larry David's Last Act

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Grab an order of Palestinian Chicken, throw some Krazee-Eyez Killa on the stereo, and brush up on those five-foot fence laws. It’s time to say goodbye to Larry and Jeff and Susie and Leon and Cheryl and Ted and Richard and the rest of the gang ahead of the 12th and final season of Curb Your Enthusiasm. 

Like a beloved aunt, Larry David’s R-rated improv comedy show has been a comforting presence ever since Season 1 debuted back in October of 2000. From the iconic tuba notes on the opening track – Bum BUM Bum – to the endless parade of memorable characters, running jokes, and epic pettiness, the show became ingrained in the cultural fabric to perhaps an even greater extent than David’s earlier work writing Seinfeld. 

While there have been plenty of iconic stand-alone episodes, Curb is at its best when focused on running storylines throughout individual seasons – The Producers, Fatwa the Musical, the Seinfeld Reunion, Latte Larry’s Spite Shop, etc. 

Excited for the entertainment in Curb Your Enthusiasm's final season?  Which brings us to where we left off in the Season 11 finale, a bit of a cliffhanger by Curb standards. 

David spent much of the season attempting to repeal a five-foot fence ordinance, which he unknowingly violated at his Los Angeles home. This triggered a series of events, including an amateur actress, Maria Sofia, cast in a major role for David’s new autobiographical show focused on his early years in New York, “Young Larry.” 

David’s final desperate attempt, dating city councilwoman Irma Kostroski, fails spectacularly and Larry remains stuck with the hilariously awful Maria Sofia in a leading role. 

Will the 12th and final season end in further catastrophe for “Young Larry”? Could it become a huge hit? Will David face punishment for abandoning social norms and countless infractions over the past quarter century? Or might David turn over a new leaf, finding a greater purpose in religion or community service? 

Now, 26 years after the heavily maligned Seinfeld series finale which David returned to write, it’s time for Curb’s final act. Wondering about the betting odds shaping Larry David's anticipated last act?

Outcome Odds Implied Probability
Larry Dies +180 35.7%
Fathers a Child +200 33.3%
Gets Back with Cheryl +250 28.6%
Goes to Prison +750 11.8%
Becomes a Republican +2500 3.8%
Converts to a Different Religion +3500 2.8%
Wins the Mark Twain Prize for American Humor +5000 2%
Runs for Public Office +5000 2%
Flees the Country +10000 1%
Gets Married to Susie +10000 1%
Buys the Yankees +10000 1%

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Let’s start with a somewhat hot take – the Seinfeld finale was a funny idea. The premise worked on paper. The idea that Jerry, Elaine, George, and Kramer would suddenly face major real-world consequences for their history of “selfishness, self-absorption, immaturity, and greed,” in a court of law, just days after Jerry and George finally get a green light on their pilot for NBC, is solid material. 

The problem was in the execution, which relied almost entirely on bit character cameos and turned the finale into a glorified clip show. 

Now David has another crack at a major finale for his magnum opus. What might be in store for the end of Season 12? 

There was a major circle of life element in the Seinfeld finale, right down to the final scene which ends exactly as the pilot episode began – Jerry and George, discussing the location of the second button on George’s shirt.

A death in the final season of Curb would bring those narratives back into play and give David plenty to work on within the writer’s room in terms of callbacks. He could die on an airplane while Cheryl is on the phone with the modern-day version of the TiVo guy, he could need an organ donor and find no willing participants, or he could even be killed by a crazed Seinfeld fan still unhappy with the finale all these year’s later. 

Either way, the comedic options are endless and it closes the door on any talk of a future revival. The real Larry David is 76 years old and has likely had enough. 

Thus, we have Larry’s death as the most likely outcome in Season 12. 

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Continuing the circle of life patterns and comedic opportunities, Larry could father a child. He’s cared for himself and only himself his entire life, so becoming responsible for another human in old age would hit all sorts of ironic notes. Maybe he and Leon, a now-iconic character and David’s roommate are forced to raise a baby together for their final adventure. There’s no time for Lampin with a newborn nearby. 

As for the most logical ending, on paper, it’s getting back with Cheryl. After nearly winning her back by casting her in the Seinfeld reunion, Larry fumbled the bag and the divorce was finalized after it was discovered Cheryl does not, in fact, respect wood. 

There have been a few close calls since, all while Cheryl was dating Ted Danson, and Larry was arguably at his best in life when Cheryl was at least attempting to keep him in check. This would be a bit of a cliché ending, but there are plenty of ways for David to put a comedic spin on it and still reach a satisfying conclusion. 

Given that Curb has always been self-aware in regard to the Seinfeld days and loves to poke fun at certain elements, we wouldn’t be stunned to see David follow suit and wind up in prison. For someone as stubborn as David is, putting a new spin on or essentially recreating the Seinfeld finale would be the ultimate double middle fingers on the way out – something we think he’d relish in. 

Those would be the main four in terms of logical endings, but we know that David loves to buck conventional plots and tidy storylines

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The next wave of possibilities could see David undergo a major identity change. While he’s not necessarily what one would consider Democratic or liberal in the traditional sense, we know how he feels about Republicans – David once passed up the opportunity to sleep with his Producers co-star (with permission from then-wife Cheryl thanks to a one-time, 10th-anniversary hall pass) because she had a photo of George W. Bush in her dressing room. 

David coming around on conservative values and MAGA politics as a send-off would fit the out-of-nowhere jokes David is so good at constructing. The same goes for David renouncing Judaism in favor of Catholicism or Christianity, for example. David settling in with a midwestern family he believed at the time to be his biological parents led to one of the funniest montages in the entire series. 

Plenty of longshot options remain – he could win the Mark Twain Prize for American Humor, run for political office, buy his beloved New York Yankees, etc. 

However, there is one more out-there possibility. One unexpected plot twist, one more development nobody ever saw coming—one more chance for David to pull the rug out from underneath the audience. 

David could get married to Susie Greene. 

When it comes to the great rivals in history, few compare to the back-and-forth adversarial nature of David and Greene’s relationship. They’re television gold, an ongoing 24-year cold war with tensions rising and cooling over time, sanctions imposed and lifted, only to blow up spectacularly at a moment’s notice. 

They are the perfect foils – Susie a mostly kind neighbor with the respect of the community, a stern but responsible/caring wife, a loving mother, righter of wrongs. Larry being Larry. 

One could argue their relationship, even more than David and Cheryl or David and Jeff, has been the heart and soul of the show over the past 11 seasons. She’s the only one who even tries to hold Larry and Jeff accountable at all times, and she is likely the person Larry is most afraid of.

Given that Jeff just got caught cheating (again) and Larry is now presumably single, we can’t think of a more fitting end than to somehow bring Larry and Susie together for an all-time truce at the altar. 

Prettaaaaay, prettaaaaay good. 

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.