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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds: Blue Jays Trading Star 1B?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds: Blue Jays Trading Star 1B?

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It wasn’t very long ago that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was considered one of the faces of the future of MLB. He had the pedigree, the smile, and the mammoth home runs to be a torch-bearer for the league for the next decade. 

As Spring Training 2025 begins, however, the Toronto Blue Jays feel the asking price is too high. It's possible the team trades its star before MLB Opening Day, or at some point during the '25 season. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed odds for sports betting on Vladimir Guerrero's Next Team Odds.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
San Francisco Giants +300 25.0%
Chicago Cubs +400 20.0%
San Diego Padres +425 19.1%
Minnesota Twins +800 11.1%
Los Angeles Angels +1000 9.1%
Texas Rangers +1000 9.1%
Seattle Mariners +1400 6.7%
Cleveland Guardians +1800 5.3%
Baltimore Orioles +1800 5.3%
The Field +1100 8.3%

* Odds represent a new team if traded by the Toronto Blue Jays before the 2025 Trade Deadline

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% as these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Guerrero, along with Bo Bichette, were going to be the face of the franchise, at least until they got too expensive during their free agency years. 

Guerrero did his part in 2024. After a dismal opening month of the season, Guerrero bounced back, ultimately batting .323 with 30 home runs and 103 RBI. 

Toronto offered Guerrero a contract worth more than $300 million in December, a number "not even close" to what his agent was seeking. He's probably looking for a deal closer in value ($760 million) and years (15) to what Juan Soto received from the Mets, though not as extreme. 

Guerrero may not be moved. He'll still be just 26 when Opening Day gets here on March 27. And the Blue Jays have spent the off-season like a team expecting to contend. Should if they decide to re-tool, trading Guerrero could refurbish the franchise and help it contend in the future. 


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The San Francisco Giants make all the sense. The Giants have tried to add big-time free agents over the last few seasons, most notably Aaron Judge, but to little avail. No team is in a worse spot at first base heading into the 2025 season than the Giants; this gives them one of the top 1Bs in the game and the face of the franchise. 

The Chicago Cubs have the prospects to make a move, the desire to go big now, and the need at first base. The same could be said for the San Diego Padres, who could move light-hitting Luis Arraez elsewhere. Both teams have the funds to at least consider offering a massive deal. 

The Minnesota Twins are in dire need of an upgrade at first, though the contract may be too rich for their blood. The Los Angeles Angels seemingly have money to burn and aren't set at the position. The Mike Trout window may be closing in Orange County. 

The Seattle Mariners have tools to trade, and a great need for a middle-of-the-lineup bat. The Texas Rangers aren't afraid of spending big, and upgrading at a corner infield spot could be what gets them back to World Series contention. 

Finances could keep other teams with needs at 1B into making a deal, including contenders such as the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.