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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds: Blue Jays Trading Star 1B?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds: Blue Jays Trading Star 1B?

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It wasn’t very long ago that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was considered one of the faces of the future of MLB. He had the pedigree, the smile, and the mammoth home runs to be a torch-bearer for the league for the next decade. 

The Toronto Blue Jays feel otherwise. After a dismal start to the 2024 MLB season, it appears the Blue Jays may put their poster boy on the trading block

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed odds for sports betting on Vladimir Guerrero's Next Team Odds.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Next Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
Chicago Cubs +350 22.2%
San Francisco Giants +400 20.0%
Seattle Mariners +500 16.7%
Cleveland Guardians +750 11.8%
Kansas City Royals +1000 9.1%
Minnesota Twins +1000 9.1%
Texas Rangers +1200 7.7%
New York Yankees +1500 6.3%
Los Angeles Angels +1750 5.4%
The Field +800 11.1%

* Odds represent a new team if traded by the Toronto Blue Jays before the 2024 Trade Deadline

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Guerrero, along with Bo Bichette, were going to be the face of the franchise, at least until they got too expensive during their free agency years. 

The Toronto offense has been dismal so far this season. As of May 22, the team ranks 29th in scoring, 26th in home runs, and dead-last in hitting with runners in scoring position. The Blue Jays are dead last in the AL East. 

Guerrero’s batting average has jumped 15 points from last season to a solid .279, but his home run and RBI totals are on pace to be halved, and far below his 2021 season in which he led the American League in runs (123), home runs (48) and batted .311 with 111 RBIs. 

In the last three seasons, the only category he’s led the league in is double plays grounded into. Bichette’s numbers are even worse. 

Guerrero may not be moved. He’s only 25 and still has two years of team control, and the Blue Jays, despite the struggles, are trying to win now. On paper, it still reads like a team that should be contending. 

But if they decide to re-tool, trading Guerrero could help revamp several areas of need in one sipe. The asking price, as one MLB.com writer put it, is “ridiculous.”


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The Chicago Cubs have the prospects to make a move, the desire to go big now, and the need at first base with Michael Busch underperforming. 

If the Blue Jays make a move, NL teams are likely to get the nod first. That gives the San Francisco Giants a real shot. First baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. has been pushed into outfield duties with Jung Hoo Lee’s season-ending shoulder surgery. That opens a spot for a first base/DH role. San Fran has been playing well lately, but it can never have enough firepower in attempting to keep up with the Dodgers. 

The Seattle Mariners have tools to trade, and a great need at a middle-of-the-lineup bat. While the AL West-leading Mariners rank Top 10 in pitching, they’re Bottom 10 in average and runs scored. 

Some of the mid-level candidates to add Guerrero reside in the AL Central. The Cleveland Guardians lead the division but the offense has been inconsistent, and not overly productive at the DH spot. The Kansas City Royals could make a push to improve at the All-Star break, and pairing Guerrero with Bobby Witt Jr., if only for 1.5 seasons, sounds great. But KC probably lacks the prospects to make this big of a splash. The Minnesota Twins have a need of a big bat and are falling behind the Guardians and Royals in the AL Central chase. 

Finances could keep any or all of those teams from making a serious offer. That’s not the case for the Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels and New York Yankees. The Yankees don’t need a first basemen, the Rangers are working in a rookie who is producing well enough, and the Angels appear out of the mix with Mike Trout on the shelf. Any of them could surprise and find a spot for the All-Star. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.