David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 2 mins

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Pac-12 Basketball Betting Guide: Open Race Favors Ducks

Pac-12 Basketball Betting Guide: Open Race Favors Ducks
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The most underperforming conference among college basketball’s big six once again lacks a program that’s a legitimate contender to get to the Final Four. But two stalwarts of the Pac-12 — Oregon and Arizona — should lead the way in league play.


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While the Ducks lost the inside tandem of Louis King and Kenny Wooten off last year’s Sweet 16 team, coach Dana Altman has reloaded with a combination of highly-rated freshmen and transfers that give Oregon a shot to return to the top of the league. On the heels of a scandal-plagued season that nearly cost coach Sean Miller his job, the Wildcats boast two immediate-impact five-star freshmen to go with Duke transfer Chase Jeter.

Also of interest in college basketball betting, watch out for Colorado, which returns almost everyone from last season’s 23-win team, and defending league champ Washington, which welcomes Kentucky transfer Quade Green and a heralded freshman class.

Pac-12 Basketball Preseason Odds to Win Conference

TeamOdds
Oregon+200
Arizona+250
Washington+375
Arizona State+900
Colorado+900
USC+1050
Utah+1200
UCLA+1400
Oregon State+2800
Stanford+4000
California+6600
Washington State+6600

Odds via 888sport are current as of publication. And check out our college basketball futures odds.

Pac-12 Betting Tips

Oregon State wing Tres Tinkle can score enough to keep Beavers in games and make them an interesting betting proposition.
Oregon State wing Tres Tinkle can score enough to keep Beavers in games and make them an interesting betting proposition.
  • Oregon under Altman plays an open-lane, spread style that exploits individual matchups on the wing, and the result last season was the Pac-12’s best record against the college basketball odds spread at 23-15. That system won’t change even though the personnel does, making the Ducks one of the league’s top ATS options again this season, especially in games featuring single-digit lines.
  • And yet, that same system can be deliberate, full of back cuts and patient players waiting on the best scoring option to present itself. The Ducks went under the total in nearly 67 percent of their games a season ago, tops in the Pac-12 in that category. Again: With the same coach and the same philosophy, it makes sense to expect similar results.

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  • The most reliable over bet in the Pac-12 last season was Utah, which exceeded the total in 64.5 percent of its games a season ago. The Utes lost some major pieces to graduations and transfers. Though Larry Krystkowiak is a former NBA coach who likes to run a transition offense, he’ll rely this season mainly on freshmen — so perhaps wait and see how they adapt before betting on Utah to put up points that consistently again.
  • Oregon State is a bottom-half Pac-12 team that should be no threat for an NCAA berth, but the Beavers possess arguably the league’s best scorer in wing Tres Tinkle, who put up 20 points a game last season. Tinkle is capable of taking over games and the Beavers will be underdogs fairly often, so keep an eye out for slim lines in Corvallis that might be ripe for upsets.
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