Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com

By Anthony Bennett | | 6 mins

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Swing-State Odds

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Swing-State Odds

Donald Trump continues to strengthen his bid for re-election against Joe Biden, but some troubling signs are forming. In the meantime, we’ll be taking our first look at swing-state odds, as the November matchup becomes clearer.

The swing-state odds could be a hint of where the election might be headed, with Biden and the Democrats making inroads in some key states.


CHECK OUT: Our presidential odds page keeps you up to date.


2020 Presidential Election Odds

CandidateThis WeekLast WeekTrend
Donald Trump-125-121
Joe Biden+125+110
Andrew Cuomo +3300+3300-
Hillary Clinton+4000+4000-
Mike Pence+4000+3300
Michelle Obama+5000+5000-
Bernie Sanders+10000+10000-

Odds courtesy of 888sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.

Remember to keep checking back each week as we track where the top candidates stand and point out trends in order to give you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential betting market so far, and where it might be headed.

What Are the Odds Donald Trump Wins Re-Election?

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Swing-State Odds 1
President Donald Trump saw his odds shorten again even though his approval rating is getting worse.

Trump shortened this week, to -125. It’s a bit of a shocker, given that his negative approval rating is beginning to widen again after briefly tightening after good news on the coronavirus front, and 888’s swing-state odds project a win for Biden (more on that later).

However, there’s still plenty of time before Election Day, and with popular vote polls tighter than Hillary Clinton’s nearly evaporated 2016 lead, Trump’s position could quickly strengthen in a short time. Signs of China being dishonest on the origins and national toll of coronavirus might also factor into a better PR week for the president.

Joe Biden 2020 Odds

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Swing-State Odds 2
Former President Barack Obama gave a strong endorsement of his former vice president.

Biden drifted to +125 this week. It’s been a mixed week for Biden, who on the one hand picked up the endorsement of his old boss and the official endorsement of rival Bernie Sanders, a late-breaking sexual assault accusation against him started hitting mainstream press. While most outlets were fairly skeptical of the story, it’s something that could bubble up later.


CHECK OUT: Daily presidential odds tracker


Andrew Cuomo 2020 Odds

Andrew Cuomo holds at +3300 this week. The New York governor continues to be popular among Democrats for his coronavirus response and holds a lot of sway with party elites, but with Biden cruising toward a majority, the opportunity to replace the former vice president is dwindling.

Hillary Clinton 2020 Odds

Clinton remains at +4000 this week after doing little to support her “candidacy.”

Mike Pence 2020 Odds

Pence drifts to +4000 this week. He’s been increasingly sidelined from public view by the President, who prefers to lead the daily coronavirus press conferences himself. He’s also shown no indication of the intra-party coup his 2020 candidacy would require.

Michelle Obama 2020 Odds

The former First Lady remains a +5000 shot after endorsing her husband’s former VP in Biden. She’s shown no indication of running for president herself, and her opportunity to do so is dwindling.

Candidates with Longer than +10000 Odds

Sanders (+10000) becomes the only candidate in this category after the removal of Jill Stein, no longer the presumptive Green Party nominee, and Tulsi Gabbard, who appears to be holding firm on her no-third-party-run commitment.

Swing State Odds

StatePartyOdds
ArizonaDemocrats-134
Republicans+100
ColoradoDemocrats-715
Republicans+400
FloridaRepublicans-139
Democrats+100
GeorgiaRepublicans-335
Democrats+220
IowaRepublicans-560
Democrats+325
MaineDemocrats-455
Republicans +275
MichiganDemocrats-200
Republicans +150
MinnesotaDemocrats-335
Republicans +220
NevadaDemocrats-455
Republicans +275
New HampshireDemocrats-230
Republicans +160
North CarolinaRepublicans-155
Democrats +110
OhioRepublicans-250
Democrats +175
PennsylvaniaDemocrats-177
Republicans +125
TexasRepublicans-500
Democrats +300
VirginiaDemocrats-560
Republicans +325
WisconsinDemocrats-125
Republicans -112

Odds opened on 888sport for swing states this week. Of note, the new odds make the Democrats favorites to win Arizona (-134 to +100), Michigan (-200 to +150), Pennsylvania (-177 to +125) and Wisconsin (-125 to -112), which would signal an Electoral College victory (a Democratic gain of 57 EV) in contradiction of the Trump/Biden odds if all other 2016 results remained constant.

Next Winning Party Odds

Political PartyOdds to Win Presidency
Republicans-125
Democrats+100
Independent+5000

Democrats drifted to Evens this week, while Republicans shortened to match their candidate at -125. All other parties are at +5000.


NOTE: Betting on politics is not legalized in the U.S. but heavily bet on in Europe. For more info on political betting in general as well as coverage of the latest news affecting the odds, be sure to check out our guide to betting on politics.