US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Slips
It was a fairly stable week in the odds, with just slight movement, including a small drop for President Donald Trump. Trends in the swing state odds, however, continue to belie what had seemingly been a strong position for the incumbent.
2020 Presidential Election Odds
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Odds courtesy of 888sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.
Remember to keep checking back each week as we track where the top candidates stand and point out trends in order to give you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential betting market so far, and where it might be headed.
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What Are the Odds Donald Trump Wins Re-Election?
Trump is a -118 shot to retain his job this week. His approval spread continues as the flat, tight negative it’s been since the beginning of the crisis, posting numbers that are decent nationally — at least for Trump — but showing trouble in a few key states. His state-by-state polling and odds continue to spell trouble, but it’s early yet and he hasn’t begun a full-on attack.
Attorney General William Barr, however, showed what that might look like, claiming that U.S. Attorney John Durham’s investigation into the Russia probe would not time its revelations for minimal impact on the presidential race. While it won’t have the same impact (as Barr pointed out, it won’t directly involve Joe Biden), wary observers may note the similarity to the Election-Week letter James Comey sent to Congress, falsely leading voters to believe Hillary Clinton was once again under investigation and likely costing her the election.
Joe Biden 2020 Odds
Biden goes to +115 this week. He got some good news in the form of new youth polling that shows him winning young voters by roughly the same margin as chief primary opponent Bernie Sanders. It’s a possible sign that he’ll hold on to one of his most challenging demographics, but there remains a question of whether they’ll turn out in enough numbers to meaningfully impact the election.
Hillary Clinton 2020 Odds
Clinton remains at +4000 this week. As she’s shown no interest in staking a claim on another Democratic nomination, she’s largely made news for continuing to fend off inquiries from conservative groups eager to mine 2016 controversies for 2020 campaign ads.
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Andrew Cuomo 2020 Odds
Cuomo moves to +5000 this week. He’s been popular with national Democrats, sparring with Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell on a state bankruptcy plan McConnell wants to make an alternative to coronavirus relief funds. There’s still no indication Cuomo will run, and no real mechanism for him to challenge Biden outside of a personal or health crisis on the latter’s part.
Mike Pence 2020 Odds
Pence falls to +5000 this week. He's continued to fade into the background of coronavirus news, leaving him little room for upward movement.
Michelle Obama 2020 Odds
Michelle Obama remains at +5000. First Lady "nominee" Jill Biden floated the idea of the former First Lady as VP, which would give her a possible if not probable path to take the nomination for herself. She's still unlikely to do either, though.
Candidates with Longer than +10000 Odds
Bernie Sanders, at +10000, is the only candidate at this range for the second consecutive week.
Swing State Odds
Swing state odds are stable this week, again predicting an Electoral College win for Biden despite Trump being favored.
Next Winning Party Odds
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Republicans drifted just slightly to -114 this week. Democrats shortened to -110, with all independents at +5000.
NOTE: Betting on politics is not legal in the U.S. but heavily bet on in Europe. For more info on political betting in general as well as coverage of the latest news affecting the odds, be sure to check out our guide to betting on politics.