23 Most Intriguing Super Bowl 57 Prop Bets To Back For Chiefs vs Eagles
Adam Thompson | 26 mins
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The Super Bowl is the No. 1 betting event of the year in the USA, every year. This year will be no different with the marquee showdown for Super Bowl 57 between Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs taking on Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles, set for Sunday, Feb. 12 in Arizona.
Online sportsbooks have embraced the phenomenon, creating thousands of prop bets to go along with the usual spread, total and moneyline wagers.
Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson hit on over 60% of his NFL picks for four consecutive seasons. In addition to his game picks, he has scoured the piles of props at all available betting apps.
Here, he reveals his favorite 23 prop bets for Super Bowl 57.
RELATED: Best Super Bowl 57 Player Prop Bets
Most Intriguing Super Bowl 57 Prop Bets
1. Opening Kickoff – Touchback
Odds: -165 at BetMGM ➜
The odds suggest an implied probability of 62.1%, which is just Under the percentage of touchbacks by each team this season. Kansas City was at 64.5% touchbacks and Philadelphia was 65.5%.
But away from the wind and outdoor weather of KC and Philly, the numbers skyrocketed. Away from home, Harrison Butker got touchbacks on 71.4% of his kickoffs, Jack Elliott a big 83%. Suddenly, a touchback seems quite likely.
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2. Highest Scoring Quarter – Second Quarter
Odds: +180 at Caesars ➜
Both these offenses go off in the second 15 minutes of games. The Eagles led the NFL at 12.4 ppg in the second quarter, while the Chiefs were No. 3 at 10.1 ppg.
That’s a whopping 22.5 ppg, a number that has increased to 23.6 ppg the last three games for each side. Their second-highest scoring quarters combined? The fourth quarter, at just 12.3 ppg.
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3. First Half Spread – Eagles -0.5
Odds: +105 at DraftKings ➜
On the entire season, the Eagles are allowing just 9.6 ppg in the opening 30 minutes. The last three games, that number is just 2.3 ppg. Meanwhile, they’re averaging 18.2 ppg. The KC defense has been especially porous in the second quarter all season.
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4. First Turnover – Fumble
Odds: +140 at Caesars ➜
These turnover-aware QBs have combined for just 1.1 interceptions per week over the course of the entire season. That’s an astonishingly low number.
Meanwhile, the offense has 2.5 fumbles combined per game, 1.5 of them lost. While the two defenses account for 1.6 picks per week, the 1.2 fumbles recovered per week is respectable enough to back the offensive trend of putting it on the ground.
5. Jalen Hurts, Over 292.5 Total Yards
Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜
Hurts averaged 246.7 pass yards per game in the regular season and 50.7 rushing yards for a combined 297.4 yards. This line suggests a less-than-average performance for Hurts, and his postseason numbers have been down for sure.
But the Chiefs rank 25th in pass yards allowed and are horrible at containing rushing QBs, ranking 30th in attempts and 28th in yards. In all, KC allows 269.5 total yards to QBs on average, but Hurts is not an average QB.
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6. Jalen Hurts To Score/Eagles Win
Odds: +205 at DraftKings ➜
Jalen Hurts ran for 13 TDs this regular season; no other QB had more than eight and only Josh Jacobs (14) had more total. KC is not good at containing QBs. We’ll take the moneyline addition to boost the odds.
7. Miles Sanders, Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜
Sanders doesn’t catch many passes. In fact, he has a measly one reception for three yards in the last four weeks combined. But he’s a playmaker on the ground, so Philly will want to get him the ball more.
With KC being tough defensively vs. the run and dead-last in receptions allowed to RBs (and 29th in yards allowed), look for Sanders to get at least one reception, maybe even two.
8. Patrick Mahomes – Over 37.5 Yards Longest Pass
Odds: -110 at DraftKings ➜
Mahomes isn’t afraid to go downfield, as evidenced by nearly every game all year. Mahomes completed a pass of at least 38 yards in 12 of his 17 games. Of the five he didn’t, in three of them he had completions of 35, 36 and 36. Philly is elite at stopping big plays, but Mahomes is good for one of them in the Super Bowl.
9. A.J. Brown, Anytime TD
Odds: +127 at Caesars ➜
Brown has just one touchdown in the last six weeks combined, a far cry from his 10 TDs in the first 13 games. He should be able to find a spot here against a KC defense that’s allowed 20 TDs to receivers, second-most in the NFL. Philly is 7-1 and its offense averages 30.9 ppg when he hits paydirt.
10. A.J. Brown, Over 71.5 Receiving Yards
Odds: -120 at DraftKings ➜
We’re all-in on Brown having a big Super Bowl Sunday. His size (225 pounds, roughly 30-40 pounds heavier than any corner on the Chiefs roster) offers a massive advantage against a KC secondary that hasn’t fared well against far-lesser receivers than Brown.
11. First Coaches Challenge Successful – Yes
Odds: -135 at DraftKings ➜
There will be a million cameras focused on every motion from every angle at the Super Bowl. Coaches will be prepared to pull the red flag when the call comes from above to do so. Worth a sprinkle.
12. Travis Kelce, Over 6.5 Receptions
Odds: -170 at DraftKings ➜
Kelce might be the best pass-catching TE in history, and he’s the No. 1 target on the top-ranked pass attack in the NFL. He had 14 receptions for 98 yards in the divisional round vs. the Jaguars.
He’s had at least six receptions in six straight games and when it’s title or bust, we’ve learned to expect even more. In the last four AFC Championship or Super Bowl games, he’s had at least 10 receptions in three of them and no fewer than seven in any.
13. Travis Kelce, Over 78.5 Receiving Yards
Odds: -120 at DraftKings ➜
The Eagles not only rank a mediocre 19th in receptions allowed to tight ends, they’re 14th in yards allowed. Kelce has gone over this mark 10 times and the team is 9-1 when he does. Mahomes-to-Kelce should connect early and often.
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14. A.J. Brown -0.5 TDs over Isiah Pacheco
Odds: +235 at DraftKings ➜
Brown hasn’t been scoring lately, but the Chiefs aren’t good on the edges defensively, and this is the reason the Eagles went big in acquiring the 225-pound WR last offseason. Just as big for Philly is keeping Pacheco out of the end zone. But despite his impressive play of late, he has just two TDs the last seven games.
15. Miles Sanders, Over 13.5 Carries
Odds: -110 at FanDuel ➜
This number is above the average, but Sanders has had at least 11 carries in all but two games this season. The Eagles are 11-1 when he gets at least 13 carries. The best way to beat Mahomes is to keep the ball away from him. That should mean more running with both Hurts and Sanders.
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16. Harrison Butker, Over 7.5 Points
Odds: -120 at BetMGM ➜
The Chiefs score a lot of points, but the focus is usually on Travis Kelce, and the Eagles have allowed just three touchdowns to tight ends in 19 games. That means they’ll push the ball but falter a couple times in Eagles territory, leaving Butler to put up points. He’s had 11 and nine points in the two playoff games this season.
17. Eagles Over 26.5 Points
Odds: -105 at DraftKings ➜
In Philadelphia’s last six games that mattered, in which Jalen Hurts played, the Eagles have scored at least 25 points in all of them and 31-plus points in all but one.
It’s averaged out to 36.2 ppg. Against a defense that was bottom-10 vs. the pass and 22nd in points allowed in non-home games (23.8), we’ll take it.
18. Halftime/Fulltime – Eagles/Eagles
Odds: +160 at Caesars ➜
The Eagles are an explosive first-half team, one that’s also allowed just seven first-half points in the last three weeks combined.
The Giants aren’t the Chiefs, but the 49ers were pretty good. Philadelphia led 28-0 and 21-7 in its playoff games and won both by 31 and 24 points. No team that’s won their first two playoff games by 24-plus has ever lost the Super Bowl (4-0).
19. Eagles ML & Over 44.5 Points
Odds: +165 at BetMGM ➜
We like the Eagles to cover, so we like them to win as well. We can parlay the moneyline and total for better odds on each. When it comes to the total, the Under has hit in the last three Super Bowls despite this being the era of offense.
Each of those totals, however, ranked in the 50s. The last six times the total was in the 40s, the Over has hit. This one flips between 49.5 and 50.5 points but we can play the number down a full six points. We like the offenses when both teams have the ball.
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20. Gatorade Color Dumped On Winning Coach – Yellow/Green
Odds: + +275 at BetMGM ➜
The winning team has often poured a winning-team color of Gatorade on the head coach at the end of the game. The Rams did Blue last year, the Chiefs Orange three seasons ago. The Buccaneers did blue for Super Bowl 55 for unknown reasons. Most teams over the last decade-plus, however, stick to their color, and these odds are way better than moneyline odds on the Eagles.
21. Either Team With Walk-off FG In Regulation
Odds: +1000 at DraftKings ➜
This one is out there, but the Chiefs have been involved in nine games this season decided by a field goal or less or overtime. The spread suggests a close game. This isn’t an all-in wager, more of a sprinkle on Kansas betting apps with a nice payoff if it hits. Jake Elliott hasn’t missed a kick of any kind or distance over five games, Harrison Butker is 6-for-6 on field goals and 9-for-9 on XPs the last three weeks.
22. Super Bowl MVP – Travis Kelce
Odds: +1200 at DraftKings ➜
This is a hedge to all the pro-Eagles leaning. Expect a big game from KC’s biggest weapon. Backing Mahomes isn’t worth the price, but Kelce is. A 10-catch, 85-yard, two-TD game and Chiefs win makes Kelce the first-ever tight end to win the award.
23. Super Bowl MVP – A.J. Brown
Odds: +1500 at Caesars ➜
Hurts is a strong candidate of course; both QBs are. But receivers who put up big numbers in the big game get notice, and I expect a big game from the Eagles’ top free agent signing. He’s been up-and-down recently; expect a big up performance. Solid NFL odds on the No. 1 WR.