NFL Receiving Props: WR Yards & TD Totals To Back in 2021
Adam Thompson | 8 mins
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The four most prolific passing seasons in NFL history have taken place in the last five years. The top 11 seasons in terms of passing have happened in the last 11 seasons.
In 2020, 18 receivers eclipsed 1,000 yards through the air. That included two tight ends, the Chiefs’ Travis Kelce (who was No. 2 overall with 1,416 yards) and the Raiders’ Darren Waller (1,196). Eight pass-catchers had 100-plus receptions.
At this point, NFL betting sites have adjusted to the record rate of receptions. But every year there are surprises and disappointments, and bettors can take advantage of them on the NFL futures props market.
Bookies.com did the heavy lifting for you, combing through sportsbooks and betting sites for the best bets out there. Here are the WR props worth backing.
WR Prop Bets To Back In 2021
|Calvin Ridley||Over 1,370.5 Yards||-110 at FOX Bet ➜|
|Davante Adams||Over 110 Receptions||-115 at DraftKings ➜|
|Tyreek Hill||Over 89.5 Receptions||-130 at DraftKings ➜|
|Tyreek Hill||Over 1,325 Yards||-112 at FanDuel ➜|
NFL odds current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings vs FanDuel review for a comparison of the two operators.
Calvin Ridley, Over 1,370.5 Yards
Odds: -110 at FOX Bet ➜
No more Julio Jones in Atlanta means Ridley is now the No. 1 target for Matt Ryan and the pass-crazed Falcons offense. Ridley was already trending in this direction in 2021. Ridley finished last season with 143 targets and 90 receptions for 1,374 yards. And that was in just 15 games. He’ll play 17 in 2021.
When Jones was in his prime catching balls from Ryan, he’d get 150-200 targets. Ridley should get somewhere in there, likely on the higher end if he plays a full season. We saw last year he can hit this number even if he misses a few. We love this bet at FOX Bet sportsbook.
Davante Adams, Over 110 Receptions
Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜
Adams has never started 16 games in a season. In the last four seasons, he’s missed anywhere from 1-4 games. But the two seasons he’s gone 14-plus, he’s hauled in 111 and 115 receptions.
Adams and NFL MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers are on a mission this year. There’s a good chance this is their swan song in Green Bay – they indicated that on social media, anyway – so if they’re going out, they’re going out big.
Last season, they connected on 115 passes (on 149 targets) and that was in only 14 games. Adams still led the NFL in TDs and yards per game. He crushes this total if he plays 16 or 17 games. We loved this one when we saw it scrolling through our betting apps.
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Tyreek Hill, Over 89.5 Receptions, Over 1,325 Yards
Odds for receptions: -130 at DraftKings ➜
Odds for yardage: -112 at FanDuel ➜
In five full seasons in the NFL, Hill has never had 90 receptions. But he’s had 87 twice. He’s eclipsed 1,350 yards just once, but that was the only season he played a full 16 games, and he crushed that number by over 100 yards.
Hill has proven to be near-unstoppable in 1-on-1 coverage. As long as he stays healthy, as long as QB Patrick Mahomes stays healthy, and as long as TE Travis Kelce demands attention and stays healthy, Hill could have a massive age-27 season. Pair all of that with no clear No. 2 receiver on the team, and it’s the Kelce/Hill show once again.
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