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Michigan Governor Odds: Gretchen Whitmer Huge Favorite

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com

Isla Knightley  | 4 mins

Michigan Governor Odds: Gretchen Whitmer Huge Favorite

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Michigan’s incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is odds-on to win a second-term in office as we look at the latest politics betting markets trading with UK bookmaker, Ladbrokes.

Gov. Whitmer will face Republican candidate Tudor Dixon, who came out on top of a five-candidate race to clinch the GOP nod in Michigan’s primary last month. 

RELATED: Latest Odds on Texas Governor's Race

Betting on politics isn’t legal in the United States, but it is across the Atlantic where politics odds, also known as specials, are regularly offered by UK betting sites such as Ladbrokes. Ladbrokes has up-to-date markets covering many key political races that are heating up during this midterm election cycle, including the gubernatorial races for New York Governor, Georgia Governor and Texas Governor.

Michigan Governor Odds 

  • Gretchen Whitmer (D), -1000
  • Tudor Dixon (R), +550

* Odds as of September 15, 2022

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The Michigan gubernatorial race is one of several key political contests the punditocracy is going to be keenly following this fall, when the 2022 US Midterm Elections get underway on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022.  

The Midwest-battleground state has proven to be deciding in the last two US Elections. It follows that it’s very likely to be just as influential again in the upcoming 2024 US Elections. 

Former president Donald Trump stunned Hillary Clinton and the Democrats in 2016, defying the odds in part due to his success swinging the Midwest in his favor to win the presidential race. 

Trump smashed through the so-called “blue wall” that surrounded the Rust Belt at the time and won Michigan’s coveted 16 electoral votes, albeit by the narrowest of margins with 47.3% of the vote to Clinton’s 47%.

Four years later, president Joe Biden won back Michigan in a critical battleground victory that helped oust Trump from the White House in 2020. Thus, denying the polarizing president a second consecutive term in office.

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Whitmer Wins Primary Unopposed

Gov. Whitmer ran in last month’s Democratic primary unopposed and she will be relying on incumbency to defeat her Republican challenger in November. 

However, like her Democratic counterparts across the country, Whitmer will need to beat back the wave of discontent spreading toward the Biden administration and historical trends that point to midterms going against the party in power in the nation’s capital. 

The nation’s disenfranchisement is complex, but at the crux of it is an alarming cost of living crisis, rising inflation and growing unemployment. 

RELATED: Latest Odds on New York Governor's Race

Trump Endorses Dixon

The GOP primary featured mainly newcomers with limited political experience and low-scale public profiles – none had run for office previously, let alone won an election. 

Arguably, Tudor Dixon, a businesswoman and former conservative commentator, was the best known candidate. She received Trump’s endorsement during the race, along with a number of other high-profile, in-state endorsements from the Michigan police, Michigan Chamber of Commerce and the billionaire DeVos family. 

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Whitmer Leads Dixon By Odds and Polls

As per the sportsbook betting exchange, Whitmer is the runaway favorite at -1000 on betting sites to win in November while Dixon is the quintessential long-shot bet at +550.  

A number of polls released over the last few weeks support this rather lopsided market outlook on betting apps. For example, a recently published Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll showed Whitmer sitting on a 13-point advantage over Dixon with respondents to the survey,

According to those polled, Whitmer had 48% of the respondents' support to Dixon’s 35%. The poll was conducted from Aug 29 to Sep. 1 with 600 respondents participating in the survey. 

About the Author

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com
Isla Knightley
Isla, a sports journalist and betting expert, covers several sports, including the NFL, as well politics. She joined Bookies.com in 2021 after contributing to other betting sites.