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Most Bet On Week 18 Games: Playoff Scenarios Greet NY Bettors

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 6 mins

Most Bet On Week 18 Games: Playoff Scenarios Greet NY Bettors

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Week 18 of the NFL betting season arrives in time to welcome New York to the list of states with legal, online sports betting. When New York sports betting goes live at 9:01 a.m. ET on Saturday, the Empire State will become the most-populous state in the union with legal mobile wagering.

Three providers – DraftKings New York, FanDuel New York and Caesars Sportsbook New York – are expected to launch in time to take live and futures action on the end of the regular season and the playoffs.

With nearly 300 playoff scenarios still on the board, the NFL has achieved nirvana when it comes to playoff parity. For sportsbooks and betting apps, this means there are a handful of games where both teams are playing for either a playoff berth or a division title.

Of the eight divisions in the league, the AFC East and NFC West remain undecided. In the AFC, the Titans, Chiefs, Patriots and Bills remain in the chase for the No. 1 overall spot and a first-round bye. Five other teams will play for the remaining two wild card spots. The NFC has six teams that have already clinched postseason berths. Green Bay has locked up the No. 1 seed. Two teams – New Orleans and San Francisco – are vying for the final playoff spot.


RELATED: NFL Week 18 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games


Week 18 NFL Playoff Picture & Scenarios

Most Bet On Week 18 Games: Playoff Scenarios Greet NY Bettors 1

Here is a look at the current NFL playoff picture and the clinching scenarios in Week 18 to examine before making your NFL picks.

Teams that have clinched a playoff berth are noted by an asterisk (*).

NFC Current Playoff Status

Team Current Seed Division/WC
Green Bay*No. 1NFC North
LA Rams*No. 2NFC West
Buccaneers*No. 3NFC South
Cowboys*No. 4NFC East
Cardinals*No. 5WC
49ersNo. 6WC
Eagles*No. 7WC

AFC Current Playoff Status

Team Current Seed Division/WC
Titans*No. 1AFC South
Chiefs*No. 2AFC West
Bengals*No. 3AFC North
Bills*No. 4AFC East
Patriots*No. 5WC
ColtsNo. 6WC
ChargersNo. 7WC

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NFL CHAMPION: Super Bowl 56 Odds For All 32 Teams Plus NFL Futures Odds


While there are 19 teams left in the chase for Super Bowl 56, only 14 will reach the postseason. Here is where things stand for the playoff clinching and seeding scenarios yet to be determined in both conferences.

Race For NFC West Title

  1. Rams clinch NFC West with win OR Cardinals loss
  2. Cardinals clinch NFC West with win AND Rams loss

Race For NFC Playoffs

  1. Saints clinch with win AND 49ers loss
  2. 49ers clinch with win OR Saints loss

Race For AFC East Title

  1. Bills clinch with a win OR Patriots loss
  2. Patriots clinch with a win AND Bills loss

Race For AFC Playoff Berths

  1. Ravens clinch with a win AND Colts loss AND Chargers loss AND Dolphins loss
  2. Colts clinch with win OR Steelers loss AND Chargers loss AND Dolphins win
  3. Raiders clinch with win OR tie and Colts loss OR Colts loss and Steelers loss
  4. Chargers clinch with win OR tie and Colts loss OR Colts loss and Steelers loss
  5. Steelers clinch with win AND Colts loss AND Chargers-Raiders does not end in a tie

Race For No. 1 Seed In AFC

  1. Titans clinch with win OR Chiefs loss and Bengals loss and Patriots loss OR Chiefs loss and Bengals loss and Bills win
  2. Chiefs clinch with win AND Titans loss
  3. Bengals clinch with win AND Titans loss and Chiefs loss and Patriots loss OR Titans loss and Chiefs loss and Bills win
  4. Patriots clinch with win AND Bills loss and Titans loss and Chiefs loss

RELATED: NFL Week 18 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game


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Week 18 NFL Betting Trends

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Chalk Continues Late-Season Surge

This betting season featured a run of success early that saw underdogs hitting more than 60% of the time. It also saw the single worst week for the books since the door was opened for legalized betting across the nation in 2018. This battle between dogs and chalk – not so surprisingly – is on the verge of ending in a draw. Heading into Week 18, underdogs hold just a 130-122-3 (51.6%) edge over betting favorites. Oddsmakers deserve a nod for this near-perfect balance, especially during a season rocked by players lost and games postponed due to COVID-19 protocols.

Double-digit favorites have fared quite well, showcasing the gap between the haves and have-nots across the league. They are 26-17-3 (60.5%) ATS during the season. This week, there are four games with double-digit lines. The Bills (-16) over the Jets, the Colts (-15) against the Jaguars, the Titans (-10) at the Texans and the Chiefs (-11.5) versus the Broncos.

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QUARTERBACK BEST BETS: Ranking Every NFL QB Against The Spread


Week 18 Biggest Liabilities

Four games carry significant spread exposure in Week 18 based on our consensus analysis of multiple sportsbooks:

Game Favorite Handle
KC at DEN KC -11.5 83%
WAS at NYG WAS -7 70%
PIT at BAL BAL -5 70%
MIN at CHI MIN -5.5 89%

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.