NFL London Betting Guide: Tips & Advice on Overseas Games
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If you love watching football on Sundays, the London NFL games have been a welcomed addition to your Sunday slate.
Typically, these games have kicked off at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time, which gives NFL betting fans a fourth-time slot in which we can consume the NFL's product. There's nothing like enjoying a cup of coffee and an NFL game on a Sunday morning.
The NFL taking their game to London has been a big success for the league. So much so that the NFL plans on playing even more games there in the future at more stadiums. We get more football, and the NFL expands its market. It is indeed a win-win.
NFL London Games Betting History
As a whole, there have been 24 games played in London since the inaugural match-up in 2007 between the Giants and the Dolphins through the 2018 season. Fast forward 10 years and there were four games played in London in 2017 and then another three in 2018 at Wembley Stadium.
Most of the time, these games have included teams from each conference to help diversify the matchups. We have seen just two divisional games in London, and expect that to stay the same.
Losing a home game to play in London is tough enough. However, losing a home game against a divisional rival is brutal. That is why the league tries to schedule non-conference matchups in London in the best interest of the franchises.
If you love to bet on the NFL, these London games have been a bit of a mixed bag for gamblers. It has been incredibly difficult to get a bead on how these games are going to play out. For the most part, these contests have been blowouts as of late.
Five games of the last seven games through the 2018 season have not been competitive and have resulted in double-digit outcomes. In the previous seven games, the winner has outscored their opponent 201-63. Frankly, they have been pretty unwatchable games.
Unfortunately for the NFL and the fans in London, they have not had the chance to watch our sport at the highest level as of yet.
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How to Bet NFL in London Games
One thing is clear from looking at the history of these games is that "home field" does not matter in London. I quoted "home field" because one team in each matchup has to sacrifice an actual home game to play in London.
While they are treated as the home team for the week, but there is certainly no advantage to it. The home team has won just 9 of 24 games and is 10-14 in point spread betting. However, the favorites have had success, going 16-8 against the spread. Take a look at all 24 matchups in London since 2007.
NFL London Schedule, Results 2007-18
|10/28/2007||Dolphins||Giants||NYG -10||48||NYG 13-10||Dolphins||UNDER|
|10/26/2008||Saints||Chargers||SD -3||45.5||NO 37-32||Saints||OVER|
|10/25/2009||Buccaneers||Patriots||NE -15.5||44.5||NE 35-7||Patriots||UNDER|
|10/31/2010||49ers||Broncos||SF -2.5||41.5||SF 24-16||49ers||UNDER|
|10/23/2011||Buccaneers||Bears||CHI -2||44||CHI 24-18||Bears||UNDER|
|10/28/2012||Rams||Patriots||NE -7||46||NE 45-7||Patriots||OVER|
|9/29/2013||Vikings||Steelers||PIT -3||41.5||MIN 34-27||Vikings||OVER|
|10/27/2013||Jaguars||49ers||SF -14.5||40||SF 42-10||49ers||OVER|
|9/28/2014||Raiders||Dolphins||MIA -3.5||40.5||MIA 38-14||Dolphins||OVER|
|10/26/2014||Falcons||Lions||DET -3.5||45.5||DET 22-21||Falcons||UNDER|
|11/9/2014||Jaguars||Cowboys||DAL -7.5||45||DAL 31-17||Cowboys||OVER|
|10/4/2015||Dolphins||Jets||NYJ -1.5||42||NYG 27-14||Jets||UNDER|
|10/25/2015||Jaguars||Bills||BUF -4||41||JAC 34-31||Jaguars||OVER|
|11/1/2015||Chiefs||Lions||KC -3.5||45||KC 45-10||Chiefs||OVER|
|10/2/2016||Jaguars||Colts||JAC -1.5||46||JAC 51-16||Jaguars||OVER|
|10/23/2016||Rams||Giants||NYG -2.5||44.5||NYG 17-10||Giants||UNDER|
|10/30/2016||Bengals||Redskins||CIN -3||49||Tie 27-27||Redskins||OVER|
|9/24/2017||Jaguars||Ravens||BAL -3||38||JAC 44-7||Jaguars||OVER|
|10/1/2017||Dolphins||Saints||NO -4||51.5||NO 20-0||Saints||UNDER|
|10/22/2017||Rams||Cardinals||LAR -3||45.5||LAR 33-0||Rams||UNDER|
|10/29/2017||Browns||Vikings||MIN -11||38.5||MIN 33-16||Vikings||OVER|
|10/14/2018||Raiders||Seahawks||SEA -3||48||SEA 27-3||Seahawks||UNDER|
|10/21/2018||Chargers||Titans||LAC -6.5||46||LAC 20-19||Titans||UNDER|
|10/28/2018||Jaguars||Eagles||PHI -3.5||44||PHI 24-18||Eagles||UNDER|
London NFL Betting Tips
If you are going to bet these games, my best advice is to bet the favorites to cover or just straight up by betting the moneyline. Playing on a neutral field generally helps the better team and I believe that’s why you see so many “bad” games in London.
There have been a few slip-ups, but for whatever reason, good teams seem to play well in London.
Trying to decipher the over/under betting in blowout games is a crapshoot. Through 24 games, the “over” has hit 12 of 24 times. We haven’t seen many “shootouts” in London as the “over” is usually only hit when one team completely blows out their opponent.
If you must bet the over/under, lean towards the “under” as these games typically end up being one-sided contests. Usually, these games start off slow and the scoring will pick up in the second half as both sides get used to playing in an unfamiliar stadium.
As more of these games are played in London, we may get more data showing a trend of some sort. However, as of now, ignore whatever team is "home" in London and just bet the better team to cover and enjoy watching the "extra" game each week.
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