How Much Would You Make Betting On Carson Wentz Each Week?
Bill Speros | 12 mins
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Carson Wentz moved to the Colts this season looking for a fresh start, but he'll be out due to injury for several weeks. In the latest in our series looking at NFL quarterbacks against the spread we ask, how much would you have made or lost betting on him each year of his NFL career so far? Stick around to find out.
Wentz was shipped from Philadelphia to Indianapolis for a pair of draft picks. Wentz, Colts head coach Frank Reich, and Indiana sports betting fans backing the Colts all sought a fresh start and a career rebirth for the former Eagles passer. Those hopes, however, have been shelved for the foreseeable future with the news Monday that Wentz would undergo foot surgery and be sidelined for at least five weeks.
How well has Wentz done against NFL spreads during his career? As Eagles followers and PA sports betting fans who backed Wentz in the past can attest – not too well.
As a starter, Wentz is 32-37 ATS in his career. That nearly matches his 33-35-1 mark outright in 69 NFL starts. Sportsbooks have often overvalued the Eagles, given the loyalty of Philly bettors. The Colts may have fallen into the same trap. The Colts went 11-6 overall last year, but were just 9-8 ATS. All records include the postseason.
Betting on Wentz A Losing Proposition
Using our system of betting $100 on Wentz ATS each week of his career with the industry standard -110 line per point-spread bet available at most betting sites, those who backed Wentz weekly since his 2016 debut are down $791.20.
Not all spreads are created equally. For this exercise, we are using the Eagles ATS records as noted via Pro Football Reference.
Philly bettors cashed big once Wentz went down in 2017, riding the underdog Eagles all the way to an outright win over the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 52. But any Super Bowl talk for the Colts among sports bettors in Indiana or NFL betting fans elsewhere is now on hold after the injury to Wentz.
This story is the latest in our current series examining NFL quarterbacks against the spread. You can read the rest here:
Tom Brady | Ben Roethlisberger | Patrick Mahomes | Dak Prescott | Aaron Rodgers | Lamar Jackson | Jared Goff | Kyler Murray
Wentz 2021 Future Uncertain
Wentz's passing totals for the Colts in 2021 have been taken down until his status is clarified. The same goes for many of his NFL futures markets. His total was 3,850.5 yards and 23.5 touchdowns at DraftKings sportsbook before news of his foot surgery.
After being taken with the second overall pick in the 2016 NFL draft, Wentz brought terrific expectations to Philly but failed to deliver in a meaningful way. Wentz and the Eagles were 11-2 in 2017 before he suffered a season-ending ACL injury in his left knee. Nick Foles then led the Eagles to their first-ever Super Bowl championship.
RELATED: How Carson Wentz Injury Impacts Colts Playoff Odds
Injuries sidelined Wentz at the start and end of the 2018 season. The Eagles went all-in with Wentz before the 2019 season, signing him to a four-year, $128 million deal. Wentz put up great regular season numbers but was knocked out of Philadelphia’s first-round playoff loss after just nine snaps with a head injury. His time as the Eagles starter finally ended when he was benched in favor of Jalen Hurts in a Week 13 loss last year.
Carson Wentz 2021 Futures To Watch
Carson Wentz To Be MVP
Odds: +4000 at DraftKings ➜
Before his injury, Wentz had moved as high as +2200 in this market after opening at +4000 before his trade to Indy on March 17. Injury aside, it’s a big ask for Wentz to make an impact here given both his targets in Indianapolis, his uncertainty in regards to playing time early in the season and the competition in this category.
Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes is the 2021 MVP betting favorite at +500 with DraftKings ➜. Meanwhile, 2020 MVP Aaron Rodgers is next at +1000 ➜, followed by Tampa Bay QB Tom Brady at +1200 ➜. Save your money. Don’t bet on Wentz to be NFL MVP on your betting apps this summer.
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Carson Wentz Comeback Player Of The Year
Odds: +1000 at FanDuel ➜
Here are the odds for NFL Comeback Player Of The Year at FanDuel sportsbook.
|NFL Comeback Player Of The Year||Odds|
|Dak Prescott||+200 ➜|
|Saquon Barkley||+700 ➜|
|Joe Burrow||+700 ➜|
|Christian McCaffrey||+700 ➜|
|Carson Wentz||+1000 ➜|
|Nick Bosa||+1000 ➜|
Odds via FanDuel ➜ and are current as of publication. Check out our FanDuel sportsbook review.
Someone with Wentz’s record and backstory has the potential to be a solid bet here, especially given that he’s in a new city with an old coach. But this category may be the toughest it has been in years.
Prescott has legit MVP potential. Barkley is playing in New York, so everything he does will be exaggerated. Burrow should have some protection this season. He could post some staggering numbers over a 17-game season. This is just too much of an ask, even at this price. Take a pass on Wentz here, as well.
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