The WNBA season tips off Friday and feels more wide open than ever. Six teams all have +600 odds or better of replacing the Seattle Storm as champions, and there’s been plenty of movement this offseason that should shake up the landscape of the league.
WNBA Finals Odds to Win Title
|Las Vegas Aces||+250|
1. Las Vegas Aces (+250)
Of all the transactions that went on during a wild WNBA offseason, two-time All-Star Liz Cambage arriving in Las Vegas was the most prominent. Last year’s MVP runner-up gives the Aces their go-to scorer and makes for a perfect complement in the frontcourt to reigning Rookie of the Year A’ja Wilson.
Add in Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young, two No. 1 overall picks, and the Aces look poised to make a deep run this season. Bill Laimbeer has turned around two WNBA franchises and the Aces very well could be his third.
There’s a reason the Aces jumped up to +250 favorites after adding Cambage. They’re the team to beat.
2. Washington Mystics (+260)
No team has made the kind of year-to-year progression like the Mystics have since 2016. They won 13 games before trading for All-Pro Elena Delle Donne in 2017.
Over the next two years they won 18 games and advanced to the semifinals, followed by a 22-win season and a loss in the WNBA Finals to the heavily-favored Storm a year ago.
With essentially the same roster returning, Delle Donne and the Mystics look like a team ready to take the next and final step toward bringing Washington its first WNBA championship. They’re right there with Las Vegas at +260 to win it all.
3. Los Angeles Sparks (+450)
It was just three seasons ago that the Los Angeles Sparks rolled to a 26-8 regular season record and won the 2016 WNBA title in one of the wildest finishes in league history.
Maybe the Sparks have some more magic in them this season after acquiring two-time All-Star Chiney Ogwumike during the offseason.
Between Chiney, her sister Nneka Ogwumike, Candace Parker and Alana Beard, there isn’t a team with more accomplished star power in the WNBA.
They were second in the league in defensive efficiency last season and should see a marked improvement on the other end with the addition of Chiney, who averaged 14.4 points on 60% shooting last season.
This team, now led by NBA great Derek Fisher, provides a lot of value at +450 to win it all.
4. Phoenix Mercury (+650)
The Mercury’s only hope of competing for a title is getting Diana Taurasi healthy. The good news is she’s on track after having back surgery on April 24 with an expected recovery time of 12 weeks.
The time off might be good for the 34-year-old Taurasi, now entering her 15th WNBA season.
If she does return to her old form once she’s back on the floor, the three-headed monster of Taurasi, Brittney Griner and DeWanna Bonner is absolutely good enough to compete for a title. We’ll bet on Taurasi, meaning their +650 odds look solid.
5. Seattle Storm (+1400)
Yes, MVP Breanna Stewart is out for the year with a torn Achilles. But as good as Stewart was in leading the Storm to a title last season, she wasn’t alone.
This is still a group with plenty of talent in Jewell Lloyd and Natasha Howard. This is still the best 3-point shooting team in the WNBA, and that can carry a group that’s missing the league’s best player. If this group comes together, they’ve got a shot. They’re excellent value at +1400 if you’re feeling risky.
WNBA Finals History