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Caitlin Clark 2024 Odds: How Many Points Will She Score In WNBA Rookie Season?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Caitlin Clark 2024 Odds: How Many Points Will She Score In WNBA Rookie Season?

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Caitlin Clark rewrote the history books and, in the process, mesmerized a nation with women’s college basketball. The games her Iowa Hawkeyes played were record-setters in ticket sales and viewership, and Hawkeyes games in March Madness surpassed ratings of NBA and men’s college games. 

Now her time at Iowa is done. Clark has said she’ll join the WNBA – suffice it to say, the WNBA is very excited about her pending arrival. 

Will she go to the WNBA or consider other, far more lucrative offers? If she does go there, how will she do? 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has surveyed the landscape to create odds for sports betting as to Clark’s next year of hoops.

Caitlin Clark Next Team Odds

PlayerOddsImplied Probability
Indiana Fever-500098.0%
BIG3 League+25003.9%
Any other WNBA Team+80001.2%

These odds are for entertainment purposes only and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

It would take too much space to list all of the accomplishments of the 6-foot Clark. But to start, she was a two-time Naismith College Player of the Year winner, a four-time First-team All-American, and the NCAA Division I all-time scoring leader. She’s regarded, at worst, as one of the great women’s hoopsters of all time, if not the very best. 

Despite other talented college stars expected to join the WNBA next season – LSU’s Angel Reese, South Carolina’s Kamilla Cardoso, and Stanford’s Cameron Brink, among them – it is impossible to believe Clark isn’t the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 WNBA Draft on April 15. 

That is if she decides to play in the WNBA. Ice Cube has offered $5 million to play in his BIG3 3-on-3 league. Games for this league play on Saturdays, starting June 15. 

When the Indiana Fever selects Clark with the No. 1 overall pick in the WNBA Draft, her salary will be $76,535. Of course, her endorsements and partnerships are expected to exceed $3 million. The WNBA season begins on May 14. 

Two analysts say Clark should eschew the WNBA altogether and break new barriers by joining the NBA. That was quickly po-poo’d by NBA insider Chris Broussard. FOX’s Skip Bayless said he’d draft Clark over Bronny James

Many WNBA standouts supplement their league salary by playing overseas, but Clark’s endorsement levels likely mean she won’t need to go that route unless she decides to take her game and personality global, which is certainly a possibility down the road. 

Caitlin Clark 2024 PPG Odds

PPGOddsImplied Probability
24.5-20.0 ppg+11047.6%
29.9-25.0 ppg+40020.0%
19.9-14.6 ppg+45018.2%
Over 30 ppg+10009.1%
14.5-10.1 ppg+15006.3%
10 ppg or less+50002.0%

Clark was a scoring machine at Iowa. As a freshman, she averaged 26.6 ppg, and the number only increased each season, to 27.0 as a sophomore, 27.8 as a junior then a whopping 31.6 ppg her senior year. 

Will those numbers translate to the WNBA? Perhaps, but perhaps not immediately. 

First off, only five players in the WNBA last season averaged over 20 ppg. Jewell Lloyd of Seattle led the league at 24.7 ppg – scoring by far the most points in a season in WNBA history, with the second-highest scoring average in history. Only the 25.3 ppg of Diana Taurasi in 2008 is higher. 

The other four players to get over 20 ppg this year: 2023 MVP Breanna Stewart of New York (24.0), A’ja Wilson of Las Vegas (22.8), Napheesa Collier of Minnesota (21.5) and Arike Ogunbowale of Dallas (21.2). 

Clark is, however, different. Of those five women, Wilson had the most prolific final season in college, averaging 22.6 ppg at South Carolina as a dominant post presence. Ogunbowale averaged 21.8 as the top perimeter threat in her final year at Notre Dame. 

RELATED: 2024 Kentucky Next Coach Odds

Clark poured in 31.6 ppg as a senior. 

Size does matter in the WNBA. Of those five players, three of them are forwards in a forward-dominating league. Stewart and Wilson are each 6-foot-4, and Collier is 6-1. 

Lloyd is a 5-10 guard, and Ogunbowale is 5-8. This was Lloyd’s highest-scoring season in nine years in the league. Ogunbowale, a fifth-year pro out of Notre Dame, scored 22.8 ppg her second year and under 20 ppg the other three. 

Clark is a 6-foot guard so she could find mismatches of her own. 

She will also have the “No. 1 overall pick” pedigree, and they rarely disappoint at the pro level. Lloyd, Stewart, and Wilson are all former No. 1 picks. Ogunbowale (No. 5) and Collier (No. 6) were highly regarded, too. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.