Jets QB Zach Wilson Rookie of Year Odds & Props To Consider

By Bill Speros Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Any examination of the Jets comes with a reminder of the first rule of NFL betting: “Never bet on the Jets.”

Even when you bet against the Jets, you will find a way to lose. That’s just the way it is.

Gang Green begins its latest rebuild this season with rookie Zach Wilson from BYU at quarterback. Wilson was a consensus top-three pick at top sportsbooks and betting sites before the draft. The Jets grabbed him at No. 2.

Wilson is part of a revival in the AFC East that now features a pair of 22-year-old (for now) QBs in Mac Jones of the Patriots and Wilson, 23-year old Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins and elder statesman Josh Allen of the Bills. He is 25. Jones celebrates his 23rd birthday on Sunday. Wilson enjoyed a stress-free training camp, put up solid numbers (going 15 for 20 with 191 yards and pair of TD passes in 42 preseason snaps) and made few mistakes.

GET READY FOR THE SEASON: Week 1 NFL Betting Lines & Analysis For All 16 Games

What to Expect From Jets, Zach Wilson In 2021

As scary as this sounds, the Jets may have gotten it right with Wilson. They blew their chances in getting Trevor Lawrence with consecutive wins over the Rams and Browns late last season. Few of the key players who celebrated the victory over Cleveland on Dec. 27 are still with the team. Among the dearly departed: QB Sam Darnold (Carolina) and head coach Adam Gase (Lincoln High School, Ypsilanti, Michigan).

To no one’s surprise, there is little love for the Jets across NFL futures markets this season.

The Jets are pegged to continue their 50-plus year championship drought in 2021, according to oddsmakers for major betting apps. The Jets are +15000 in the latest Super Bowl odds. DraftKings has the Jets at +7500 to win the AFC , and as the fourth choice at +2500 to win the AFC East behind Buffalo, Miami and New England.

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These numbers seem high for any rookie, especially one with an untested offensive and few proven options. Wilson has tremendous potential. But there are simply not enough options here to see him hitting either one of these numbers.

His total TDs is reachable, but there’s no value in the over. And his total yards are higher than the number on Jones, Lamar Jackson, Daniel Jones and Jalen Hurts. Even though we never bet on the Jets, take the under on 21.5 TDs at -115 at DraftKings and the under on 3,850.5 yards passing for Wilson at -112 with FanDuel.

Breaking Down Zach Wilson ATS

Wilson made 28 career starts at BYU and amassed 7,652 yards passing and 56 TDs during his collegiate career. In 2020, he completed 73.5% of his attempts. Stellar numbers that he won’t see in New York for a while.

At BYU, Wilson went 21-11 overall and 11-1 last season. He and the Cougars went 7-4-1 against the spread in 2020. Meanwhile the Jets were 6-10 against NFL spreads last season, despite their 2-14 overall finish.

One last thing. Never bet on the Jets.

NFL Quarterbacks ATS

Long-suffering Jets fans who choose to ignore our warnings can legally bet on Gang Green in New York and New Jersey. By the season’s midway point, those in Connecticut should be able to partake in the misery, as well.

This is the 32nd and final story in our series examining all NFL starting quarterbacks against the spread. You can see the other QBs here:

Tom Brady | Ben Roethlisberger | Patrick Mahomes | Dak Prescott | Aaron Rodgers | Lamar Jackson | Jared Goff | Kyler Murray | Carson Wentz | Josh Allen | Teddy Bridgewater | Drew Lock | Daniel Jones | Ryan Fitzpatrick | Ryan Tannehill | Derek Carr | Tua Tagovailoa | Trevor Lawrence | Matt Ryan | Sam Darnold | Joe Burrow | Baker Mayfield | Kirk Cousins | Justin Herbert | Matthew Stafford | Russell Wilson | Jimmy Garoppolo | Andy Dalton | Jameis Winston | Mac Jones | Jalen Hurts | Tyrod Taylor

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About the Author

Bill Speros

More About Bill

Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.